TOKYO, Sept 23 — Asian shares edged closer to 14-month highs today while the dollar was on the defensive as investors grew more convinced that the Federal Reserve is settling into a phase of very gradual interest rate hikes.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was steady and within sight of its highest levels since July 2015 that it hit in early September.
Japan’s Nikkei dipped 0.2 per cent, reflecting the yen's gains during Japan's market holiday on Thursday.
On Wall Street, S&P 500 Index gained 0.65 per cent, led by 1.9-per cent gain for the real estate sector.
The S&P 500 capped its best two-day performance in more than two months, while the Nasdaq closed at a record high.
The rallies began after the Fed on Wednesday maintained the low-interest rate environment that has helped underpin the bull market for stocks since the global financial crisis in 2008.
“Because the Fed is shying away from tightening, there will be liquidity sloshing around in the world’s financial markets as well for another few months,” said Tatsushi Maeno, senior strategist at Okasan Asset Management.
Fed Chair Janet Yellen did say US growth was looking stronger and rate increases would be needed to keep the economy from overheating and fuelling high inflation.
But that hardly changed the market's perception on the outlook of the Fed’s policy, with interest rate futures pricing in roughly 60 per cent chance of a rate increase by December, little changed from before the Fed meting.
Crucially, the Fed also projected a less aggressive rise in rates next year and in 2018, fanning expectations bond yields will stay low in the foreseeable future.
The 10-year US Treasuries yield dropped to as low as 1.608 per cent, down sharply from Wednesday’s high of 1.738 per cent and hitting its lowest level in almost two weeks.
The German Bunds yield also fell about 10 basis points to minus 0.093 per cent from plus 0.005 per cent on Wednesday.
The 10-year Japanese government bond yield fell 3.5 basis points to minus 0.060 per cent in early today trade.
The BOJ said on Wednesday it will seek to guide the 10-year JGB yield around zero per cent in an unprecedented move, but investors are left wondering exactly where and how the BOJ would be able to exert control on the bond yield.
In the currency market, the dollar was softer on the Fed’s policy outlook, with the dollar's index against a basket of six major currencies slipping to its lowest level in nearly two weeks yesterday.
The index last stood at 95.350, off yesterday’s low of 95.048 but down 0.7 per cent on the week.
The euro fetched US$1.1211 (RM4.11), recovering from Wednesday’s three-week low of US$1.1123.
The yen stepped back to 100.78 to the dollar from four-week high of 100.10 touched yesterday after Japan’s top currency diplomat warned Tokyo will take action if needed.
Oil prices rallied to a two-week high, helped by US government data that showed a surprising crude inventory drop.
But they gave back some gains after Reuters reported that a two-day expert-level meeting of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries on production cooperation had yielded no major breakthrough.
The meeting was held in advance of September 26-28 talks in Algeria between Opec and other major oil producers to discuss a potential output freeze.
Brent crude futures traded at US$47.38 per barrel, after having climbed to US$47.83 yesterday.
Elsewhere, copper rallied to a six-week high despite worries about slow demand growth, supported by the Fed’s policy. — Reuters